Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.511312 7.584261 8.743851 10.085982 11.592186 13.225910 15.127414
2026-02-08 4.850839 6.230759 7.839031 9.835625 12.230377 14.992408 18.399776
2026-02-15 3.807125 5.288208 7.119989 9.519323 12.543255 16.190116 20.878966
2026-02-22 3.224526 4.785330 6.813678 9.589206 13.228387 17.773432 23.806337
2026-03-01 2.768672 4.365438 6.535527 9.622453 13.811940 19.203744 26.556455
2026-03-08 2.420037 4.036351 6.325070 9.696607 14.414600 20.648362 29.350282
2026-03-15 2.115364 3.724751 6.094689 9.702398 14.896010 21.925239 31.947447
2026-03-22 1.928340 3.564155 6.057998 9.964658 15.727658 23.689066 35.245110
2026-03-29 1.753660 3.398310 5.991026 10.165034 16.465768 25.338214 38.431608
2026-04-05 1.569836 3.192174 5.837554 10.213686 16.970867 26.665303 41.202808
2026-04-12 1.342425 2.879766 5.481359 9.913820 16.926251 27.188319 42.839155
2026-04-19 1.160775 2.623928 5.190563 9.688276 16.968917 27.822779 44.637600
2026-04-26 0.994820 2.376122 4.891465 9.428441 16.945429 28.362376 46.328307
2026-05-03 0.854493 2.157503 4.620339 9.190514 16.935591 28.911964 48.042177
2026-05-10 0.725463 1.941271 4.329496 8.891311 16.800350 29.251478 49.437277
2026-05-17 0.657031 1.844473 4.251417 8.957400 17.265945 30.532824 52.293425
2026-05-24 0.592381 1.746000 4.159460 8.988844 17.669293 31.723760 55.039398
2026-05-31 0.538687 1.664556 4.092503 9.058980 18.137540 33.028575 57.994257
2026-06-07 0.484659 1.573384 3.996031 9.064457 18.489043 34.151061 60.688732
2026-06-14 0.456868 1.544212 4.025977 9.312554 19.277240 36.008809 64.595815
2026-06-21 0.426522 1.503501 4.026869 9.502153 19.965981 37.720126 68.309691
2026-06-28 0.388158 1.434480 3.958620 9.548194 20.393161 39.004531 71.364029
2026-07-05 0.331680 1.303195 3.736145 9.264457 20.196100 39.224364 72.684374